Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044884 0.048940 0.053060 0.057553 0.062305 0.067176 0.072539
2024-12-22 0.039561 0.045592 0.051949 0.059121 0.066960 0.075242 0.084626
2024-12-29 0.034931 0.042355 0.050445 0.059850 0.070421 0.081876 0.095163
2025-01-05 0.031191 0.039649 0.049148 0.060495 0.073562 0.088030 0.105146
2025-01-12 0.027465 0.036562 0.047084 0.059974 0.075156 0.092297 0.112933
2025-01-19 0.025099 0.034831 0.046385 0.060853 0.078224 0.098159 0.122510
2025-01-26 0.022409 0.032451 0.044690 0.060354 0.079515 0.101853 0.129517
2025-02-02 0.020459 0.030820 0.043757 0.060642 0.081641 0.106460 0.137561
2025-02-09 0.019133 0.029873 0.043577 0.061774 0.084732 0.112187 0.146940
2025-02-16 0.018533 0.029827 0.044502 0.064268 0.089497 0.119958 0.158827
2025-02-23 0.016169 0.027193 0.041894 0.062097 0.088308 0.120371 0.161737
2025-03-02 0.014613 0.025566 0.040514 0.061419 0.088923 0.122944 0.167242
2025-03-09 0.013250 0.024146 0.039371 0.061042 0.089951 0.126101 0.173598
2025-03-16 0.012835 0.024103 0.040120 0.063208 0.094312 0.133505 0.185324
2025-03-23 0.012104 0.023523 0.040071 0.064264 0.097210 0.139075 0.194805
2025-03-30 0.011369 0.022878 0.039887 0.065100 0.099805 0.144267 0.203847
2025-04-06 0.010334 0.021672 0.038814 0.064638 0.100617 0.147139 0.209945
2025-04-13 0.009769 0.021188 0.038775 0.065611 0.103359 0.152523 0.219279
2025-04-20 0.008880 0.020087 0.037744 0.065110 0.104049 0.155202 0.225136
2025-04-27 0.008260 0.019399 0.037302 0.065428 0.105844 0.159329 0.232875
2025-05-04 0.007889 0.019120 0.037474 0.066629 0.108863 0.165086 0.242757
2025-05-11 0.007852 0.019443 0.038601 0.069261 0.113915 0.173593 0.256293
2025-05-18 0.006801 0.017795 0.036492 0.066975 0.111963 0.172673 0.257439